Who Leaves and Who Enters? Flow Measures of Neighborhood Change and Consequences for Neighborhood Crime
نویسندگان
چکیده
Objectives Longitudinal studies of the relationship between neighborhood change and changes in crime typically focus exclusively on net level key socio-demographic characteristics. Methods We instead propose a demographic accounting strategy that captures composition change: our measures capture which types people are more likely to leave, stay, or enter neighborhood. use data for 3,325 tracts Southern California region over nearly two decades 2000–2010 2010–2017 construct flow based race/ethnicity; length residence owners renters; age structure. Results These improve predictive power models—implying important theoretical insights. Neighborhoods with higher percentages middle-aged residents who recently entered exhibit larger increases violent property crime. The relative stability those highest crime-prone ages (aged 15–29) is associated largest greater loss Black Asian decreased while moderate outflows Latinos increased mobility long- short-term renters was related changes. Conclusions This new technique will encourage further innovation neighborhoods literature.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1552-731X', '0022-4278']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/00224278221088534